Pakistan’s Poverty and Inequality Surge to Multi-Decade Highs

Feb 21, 2026 | Current Affairs, Economy

On Friday, February 20, 2026, Federal Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal released a sobering preliminary report on the 2024–25 Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES). The data reveals that Pakistan’s poverty rate has climbed to a level not seen in 11 years, while income inequality has hit a 27-year peak.

The National Poverty Crisis

Approximately 70 million people are now living below the official poverty line (expenditure of less than Rs. 8,484 per month).

  • 11-Year High: The national poverty rate reached 28.9% (some estimates cite 29%), up from 21.9% in 2018–19. This is the highest level since 2014.
  • Reversal of Progress: For the first time in over a decade, the consistent downward trend in poverty has reversed, effectively wiping out the progress made between 2005 and 2018.
  • Unemployment: The survey also confirms a 21-year high unemployment rate of 7.1%.

Income Inequality: A 27-Year Peak

The gap between the rich and the poor has widened to its most extreme point since the late 1990s.

  • Inequality Index: The Gini coefficient (a measure of inequality) jumped to 32.7, the highest since 1998 (31.1).
  • Elite Capture: According to supplemental reports, the richest 10% of Pakistanis now control 42% of the national income, while the bottom 50% share just 19%.

Provincial & Regional Breakdown

The surge in poverty has disproportionately affected rural areas and the already vulnerable provinces of Balochistan and KP.

Region Poverty Rate (2019) Poverty Rate (2025) Surge Detail
National 21.9% 28.9% 32% increase in 6 years
Rural 28.2% 36.2% Deepening agrarian crisis
Urban 11.0% 17.4% Inflation hitting city workers
Punjab 16.5% 23.3% 41% surge in 7 years
Sindh 24.5% 32.6% One-third increase
Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa 28.7% 35.3% Security and flood impacts
Balochistan 42.0% 47.0% Nearly 1 in 2 people in poverty

Root Causes: Why is this happening?

Minister Ahsan Iqbal attributed the “real income compression” to several overlapping factors:

  • IMF Stabilization: Withdrawal of energy subsidies, currency devaluation, and higher indirect taxes required by the IMF program.
  • Inflation vs. Income: Real monthly household income dropped from Rs. 35,454 (2019) to Rs. 31,127 (2025)—a 12% decrease in purchasing power.
  • Natural Disasters: The “super floods” of 2022 and 2024 devastated the agricultural heartland.
  • Low-Quality Growth: Economic growth has been “output-driven” rather than “employment-intensive,” meaning wealth is being created but jobs are not.

The Government’s Path Forward

While admitting that cash handouts (BISP) are “not a permanent solution,” the Planning Minister emphasized that the current stabilization phase is necessary to build a foundation for future growth. He noted that the government has “policy space” to spur growth specifically in the IT and Agriculture sectors to reverse these trends.

You May Also Like: PSX Suffers Historic Single-Day Crash, Market Meltdown

Check out our latest video: