ISLAMABAD — The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) on Tuesday issued a detailed weather advisory, warning that a strong new spell of monsoon rains will sweep across the country from July 29 to August 5. The system is likely to worsen flooding in low-lying urban areas and trigger landslides in northern mountainous regions.
According to the Met Office, robust monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal will enter upper and central Pakistan on July 29. The system is expected to intensify from August 1 after merging with a westerly wave, affecting Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab, Azad Jammu & Kashmir (AJK), Gilgit-Baltistan, Balochistan, and Sindh.
وزیرِ اعظم محمد شہباز شریف کی زیر صدارت ملک میں جاری مون سون بارشوں اور ان کے نتیجے میں سیلابی صورتحال پر جائزہ اجلاس آج اسلام آباد میں منعقد ہوا
اجلاس کو این ڈی ایم اے، گلگت بلتستان و آزاد کشمیر سمیت چاروں صوبوں کے چیف سیکریٹریز نے حالیہ مون سون اور اس کے نتیجے میں نقصانات،… pic.twitter.com/JIbEa7CUhx
— Badar Shahbaz 🇵🇰 (@BSWarraich) July 28, 2026
High-Risk Areas and Regional Impact Assessment
The PMD has highlighted several areas at elevated risk and urged tourists, local administrations, and disaster management authorities to remain vigilant:
- Urban Flooding Risks (July 30 – Aug 4): Severe inundation expected in low-lying parts of Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Peshawar, Lahore, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Faisalabad, Multan, and Sukkur.
- Landslides & Flash Floods (July 30 – Aug 5): High chance of hill torrents and landslides in KP (Dir, Swat, Hazara division), AJK, Gilgit-Baltistan, Murree, Galliyat, and the D.G. Khan hill torrent areas.
- Southern Activity (July 31 – Aug 3): Thundershowers with isolated heavy rainfall likely in Sindh (Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur) and southern/eastern Balochistan.
Riverine Status and Casualties
The PMD’s Flood Forecasting Division reported that the Indus River is flowing at low to medium flood levels at Kalabagh, Taunsa, Guddu, and Sukkur, while the Ravi River remains in a low-flood state at Balloki and Sidhnai.
| Province / Region | Fatalities (Since June 25) | Injured | Primary Vulnerability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | 55 | — | Landslides & Flash Floods |
| Punjab | 36 | — | Urban Flooding & Riverine Swells |
| Balochistan | 8 | — | Hill Torrents & Flash Floods |
| AJK / GB / Sindh | 10 | — | Slope Instability & Drainage Overflows |
| Total Nationwide | 109 | 360 | Monsoon-Related Incidents |
NDMA Briefing & $700M Annual Climate Allocation
During a high-level briefing on Tuesday, National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) officials told federal cabinet members that the current monsoon activity is heavily concentrated over northern Pakistan and eastern Punjab, in sharp contrast to drier conditions in southern Balochistan.
Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal called for a “whole-of-government approach” focusing on early warnings, glacial melt monitoring, and agricultural resilience, with collaboration from China.
Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb announced that Pakistan has secured $700 million annually for climate change projects over the next decade under a $20 billion Country Partnership Framework (CPF) with the World Bank. He urged federal and provincial ministries to fast-track viable projects to make full use of these adaptation funds and better protect vulnerable communities.
